|
Of Public Interest
Volume 4, Number 12
June, 2002
Why Democracies Create Budgetary Crises
Richard E. Wagner
As children, most of us experienced the need to cram before exams. Had we
paced ourselves better during the term, it would not have been necessary to cram
at the end of the term. For many of us, though, cramming proved to be necessary.
As we mature, most of us learn to pace ourselves reasonably well. We learn that
our objectives take time to accomplish, and we spread our work over an interval
of time that avoids a frantic effort at hyper-accomplishment when our work is
due.
While most of us learn to apply these lessons in our personal lives, they do
not seem to be applied too easily in our political lives. The budgetary work of
democracies does not seem to proceed in a regular and smooth fashion. It
proceeds in jerky, spasmodic fashion, lurching from crisis to crisis, and with
one reform following another.
Indeed, the federal government rarely enacts its own budget in accordance
with its own announced schedule. It is often necessary for Congress to enact
continuing resolutions to keep the government’s finances moving because the new
fiscal year has begun without the budget yet being enacted. To be sure, this
method of doing things does work. The government does not really shut down, even
if some of us might think it a good thing if at least some of the government did
shut down.
What is puzzling about all this is the repeated pattern of delay followed by
hyper-activity that resolves a crisis at the last moment, with calls for reform
then being sounded with increasing volume. It reminds one of one’s school days.
Cramming for the geometry exam in the fall was awful, and a vow of reform was
taken to avoid doing the same thing in the spring. Only with the coming of
spring, the vow is forgotten, and the cramming begins again.
What is there about the practice of politics among adults that repeats, again
and again, the behavior of adolescents? One possible explanation traces this
pattern of conduct to the perverse incentives that politicians confront because
they do not operate with secure, well-defined property rights.
A right of property means that you are responsible for the consequences of
your actions. If you try to cram most of your work into the last week of the
semester, it is you who bear the consequences of your actions, whether this is
in lower grades, rejections from colleges, or lost sleep. If, as an adult, you
do the same thing with your business, and so fail to make a timely delivery to a
customer, it is you who suffer the loss of business and reputation.
In democratic politics, however, there are no property rights. Economists
have a name for this kind of setting. They refer to it as common property. The
consequences of your actions are spread over everyone.
It is easy to illustrate the difference between private and common property.
Suppose five people are responsible for plowing a five acre field. One way they
could work would be for each of them to be responsible for one acre. Each
person’s work would be finished when he had finished plowing his assigned acre.
The other way would be for the five to work as a unit. No one would be finished
until the entire five acres were plowed. Under normal circumstances, we would
expect this arrangement to take more time to complete the job. If one person
reduces his exertion, he shifts more of the work onto others. As a result, we
would expect the plowing to proceed more slowly under the common property
arrangement.
This is how it is with democratic budgeting. Social Security and Medicare are
in deep trouble. This is widely known and has been known for at least 40 years.
Commission after commission has offered various approaches to reform. Each
so-called reform offers a fix that lasts for a few years, at which time the
process starts over again.
The difficulty is that the real crisis in politics occurs at two, four, or
six year intervals, depending on the office that is up for election. What
matters most to nearly any political figure is how he will stand with the voters
at the next election. Privatizing social security in one fashion or another
might well prove to be electorally rewarding twenty years from now, but if it
doesn’t prove rewarding at the next election, it won’t stand a chance.
There is really nothing that can be done to change the significance of
periodic elections in democracies. It is simply a feature of democracy with
which we must live. It is the necessary price we must pay for being able
periodically to register our assessment of political candidates. It is, however,
also testimony to the wisdom of limited government. Democracies will necessarily
generate adolescent conduct in budgetary matters among their participants, and
this conduct will redound to our general detriment. It is impossible to
eliminate this and maintain democracy, but it is possible to limit the reach of
democratic government.
Richard E. Wagner is Senior Fellow at the Public Interest Institute and
Holbart Harris Professor of Economics at George Mason University.
A Publication of:
Public Interest Institute at Iowa Wesleyan College
600 North Jackson Street
Mt. Pleasant, Iowa 52641-1328
Phone: 319-385-3462 Fax: 319-385-3799
E-Mail: public.interest.institute@limitedgovernment.org Web Site:
www.limitedgovernment.org
|